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VanEck Blog - Emerging Markets Debt Daily
Emerging Markets Debt DailySeptember 18, 2019
South Africa: Inflation Cools Rate Expectations
Natalia Gurushina, Economist, Emerging Markets Fixed Income
A spike in South Africa’s inflation reduces the probability of a rate cut tomorrow. Signs of moderation in Poland’s labor market can mitigate the inflationary impact of an 80% minimum wage increase.
Emerging Markets Debt DailySeptember 17, 2019
China Central Bank Proceeds with Caution
by Natalia Gurushina, Economist, Emerging Markets Fixed Income
Read moreChina’s central bank decided to keep its 1-year medium-term loan rate unchanged, surprising the market which was expecting a cut. Russia’s industrial production rebounded in August despite fewer working days.
Emerging Markets Debt DailySeptember 16, 2019
China – Looking Beyond Growth Rates
by Natalia Gurushina, Economist, Emerging Markets Fixed Income
Read moreChina’s growth moderation in August reflected both trade uncertainty and deliberate policy choices. The price of oil surged on the back of the Saudi oil attack, ruffling risky assets.
Emerging Markets Debt DailyJune 26, 2019
China Drive to Cut Private Borrowing Costs
by Natalia Gurushina, Economist, Emerging Markets Fixed Income
Read moreChina is mulling new initiatives to lower the private sector’s borrowing costs. In Brazil, delaying the pension bill vote until next week is not fatal, but the timeline is important for the central bank’s ability to cut rates.
Emerging Markets Debt DailyJune 21, 2019
South Africa Fiscal Stabilization in Question
by Natalia Gurushina, Economist, Emerging Markets Fixed Income
Read moreFrontloading support for South Africa’s state-owned companies may push the 2019-2020 fiscal gap beyond 5% of gross domestic product. Central European industrial activity has yet to feel the impact of the eurozone’s manufacturing contraction, supporting neutral policy bias in countries like Poland.