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Emerging Markets Debt DailyApril 16, 2021
China’s Q1 Growth Hiccup – Temporary?
by Natalia Gurushina, Chief Economist, Emerging Markets Fixed Income Strategy
China’s slow sequential Q1 growth reflected the virus’s winter resurgence. Poland’s core inflation is nearing 4%, but the central bank remains uber-dovish.
Emerging Markets Debt DailyApril 15, 2021
Russia – New Sanctions, Limited Concerns?
by Natalia Gurushina, Chief Economist, Emerging Markets Fixed Income Strategy
Read moreThe new U.S. sanctions on Russia restrict access to the primary market for Russian government debt. Turkey kept the policy rate on hold, but removed tightening bias.
Emerging Markets Debt DailyApril 14, 2021
China Tackles Local Governments Debt
by Natalia Gurushina, Chief Economist, Emerging Markets Fixed Income Strategy
Read moreChina introduces new regulations to reign in local government financing. Big inter-regional differences in the size of net interest payments are set to persist in EM in the coming years.
Emerging Markets Debt DailyApril 13, 2021
China Trade – Putting Things in Perspective
by Natalia Gurushina, Chief Economist, Emerging Markets Fixed Income Strategy
Read moreChina’s imports are trending up, in line with the domestic recovery. Brazil is frantically trying to solve this year’s fiscal puzzle.
Emerging Markets Debt DailyApril 12, 2021
China Policy Normalization – Get Used to It
by Natalia Gurushina, Chief Economist, Emerging Markets Fixed Income Strategy
Read moreChina’s monetary and credit aggregates shows that policy normalization is well underway. Turkey’s rising unemployment suggests that pro-growth policies might stage a comeback.
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